Joe Biden’s Democratic campaign for the White House has recently been boosted because President Donald Trump is pushing voters away with his defiant rhetoric, longtime Republican sociologist Frank Lanz told CNBC on Friday.
“These elections are absolutely not over. But lose to Joe Biden, ”Luntz said in an interview with Squawk Box. “You never count anyone, but these two weeks have not been good for Donald Trump.”
“Biden has been pretty quiet lately,” and he should stay that way because when he says, he makes a mistake that Trump can make use of, Lunts said.
The latest failure occurred during the campaign stoppage in Pennsylvania, where Biden on Thursday said that “over 120 million people from Covid died in the US” when he wanted to say more than 100,000. According to data from Johns Hopkins University on Friday, the total number of Covid-19 deaths in America exceeded 124,000 out of more than 2.4 million cases.
Trump tweeted Biden’s mistake, saying, “This is beyond the usual mistake.”
Lunts said Biden should “stay in his basement,” where he had been blocking the coronavirus for several months, and “stay away from the media.”
Hush [Biden] what better does he do in polls, “said Luntz.” That should tell you something. The more Trump says – and I think this is the message, and I think this is what he says – the worse he appears. “
According to RealClearPolitics National Average Survey, Biden is 10 percentage points ahead of Trump.
More importantly, Luntz said: “The states that Donald Trump won in 2016 have now shifted towards Joe Biden somewhere from 6 to 10 points. It is important. This is beyond error. ”
The Trump and Biden campaigns did not immediately respond to a CNBC comment request.
Biden is also popular on Wall Street, which has greatly benefited from Trump’s corporate tax cut in 2017 and his desire to abolish business rules. Even with the advent of the coronavirus markets, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index as of the end of Thursday rose 40% since the 2016 election day and 30% higher after Trump’s inauguration 73 days later.
Various current and former financiers, analysts, lobbyists, lawyers and political advisers with banking clients have told CNBC that they are increasingly preparing for the former vice president to defeat Trump in the November elections.
“They are ready to support anyone who will give them a sense of stability and the feeling that everything will calm down. That’s why Biden actually moved into the business community, and now people are considering voting for him, ”Lunts said.
Lanz said the prospect of tax increases under Biden would not hurt him in the polls.
“Today it is customary in the world to accept higher taxes than ever in my research. And that goes back to Reagan-Mondale in 1984. That’s how it matters: the willingness to pay for expenses, the willingness to support the economy, the willingness to give something because of all the unrest there, “Lunts said.
He said Trump should not try to use the same rude and harsh vocabulary that worked four years ago when he shocked the political establishment by beating Hillary Clinton. “Hillary Clinton was very easy to dislike. Donald Trump had his number. ”
However, Luntz added: “The American people, which did not exist in 2016, have fragility, anger, disappointment, anxiety,” citing the double crisis of the coronavirus pandemic and national protests against racial inequality. the murder of George Floyd last month by a white cop.
“Again, the point is Donald Trump’s language, not his politics,” Lunts said. “The language he uses is not the language of the American people. He is very tough. The public wants empathy. They want understanding. He’s talking about law and order. He must talk about public safety. He says his supporters are warriors. ” when people really want him [work] for hardworking taxpayers. “