July 4, 2020
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Ohio began reopening six weeks ago, but there was no surge in coronavirus. Why not?

Ohio began reopening six weeks ago, but there was no surge in coronavirus. Why not?

AliExpress WW

Columbus, Ohio – As several states begin to see a surge in cases of COVID-19 since the discovery, Ohio doesn’t.

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Over the past six weeks, Ohio has gradually abolished home stay. Result: a plateau in newly registered cases and a decrease in the number of hospitalizations, both registered and estimates of people currently hospitalized.

From May 1st:

  • The average number of newly registered cases per week decreased from 476 to 391.

  • The number of weekly deals for the week ending on Monday was the lowest since the second week of April.

  • The number of currently hospitalized patients has increased from 1067 to 513.

  • The percentage of tests returning positive results every day decreased from 10.7% to 3.2%.

  • A smaller percentage of people with a positive result for the virus (not antibodies) were hospitalized.

“We don’t see any significant increase or recovery of the wave or peak in Ohio, and that’s great,” said Mark Cameron, an infectious disease researcher and professor at the medical faculty of Case Western Reserve University. “This may mean that people are still generally following the recommendations.”

But Cameron, repeating epidemiologists and public health officials, says good news does not mean that Ohio should stop taking precautionary measures, such as social distance and wearing a mask.

Now it’s impossible to say for sure what contributes to the Ohio plateau or a decrease in coronavirus rates. The reaction of the state and the local population was due to many factors, and there is no exact data, say, about how much Ohio wears masks or stays at home.

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Here are three possible reasons why there was no sharp increase in the number of cases in Ohio.

1. Testing catches more cases earlier

Testing is completed, and cases are increased, but the number of hospitalizations has not changed, which experts consider a good sign. The number of viral tests more than doubled from April to May from 104,247 to 25,500. 154,792 tests were conducted in the first two weeks of June.

Cameron said intensified testing is likely to infect people in the early stages of the disease, so they can be treated at home. It also likely catches asymptomatic or presymptomatic people before they unknowingly transmit the virus to others.

This not only keeps people from hospitals, but also breaks the chain of transmission, which could go unnoticed.

According to Dr. Michael Oglesby, director of the Ohio University Institute of Infectious Diseases, testing, combined with contact tracing to identify other people who might be infected, prevents hot spots from merging and turns into a splash.

Ohio is still far daily testing levels Epidemiologists recommend safely reopening, but this is improving. Recently in Ohio, attempts have been made to test all nursing home employees who could deliver the virus to or from facilities. And the governor of Ohio. Mike Devine announced last week this test will be available to anyone who wants to take the test, including on pop-up testing sites throughout the state.

2. Not everything is open

Ohio didn’t open the door for everything that day. Instead, business sectors and events were opened in turn, many medical and dental procedures resume from May 1, bars and restaurants allow room service on May 21, and gyms and low-contact sports start on May 26.

Zoos, museums and water parks were opened last week. Spaces where a large number of people gather, such as concert halls and professional sports, remain closed.

Even when businesses and activities were allowed to resume not everyone did or they opened in share of their pre-coronavirus levelAnd everyone had to follow the new safety rules: keep 6 feet between people, require protective coatings for employees and often clean surfaces with a high level of touch.

“Ohio officials did a good job of understanding that we are returning to some normal situation, but that does not mean that you can return to normal,” Cameron said.

Oglesby said several states with growing cases – such as Arizona, Texas and Mississippi – really didn’t get the first wave.

“Our phased discovery is strategic, and it’s effective, and it’s effective based on what we see, because we don’t see this secondary peak,” said Oglesby.

Cases can take weeks to emerge from a case – cases now appearing in Alabama were tied to memorial dayAlthough two weeks is the often referred to incubation period for COVID-19, Cameron said it might take three weeks to see the infection from the impact on the event appear in recorded numbers and even longer to see secondary infections.

3. Prospective mobility data

Mobility data indicate that Ohio has not fully resumed pre-coronavirus activity.

In May, people spent about 40% less time in the office than in January and February. mobile phone location data analyzed by Google,

According to the Ohio Department of Transportation, traffic on Ohio’s roads decreased by 46% in the first week in Ohio compared to the same period in 2019. Last week, traffic was still 22% below the 2019 level.

Restaurants opened for dinner on May 21, and there was no insane rush, according to data from opentable, restaurant reservation application. In the first week of real-time service, the number of bookings decreased by an average of 71.6% compared to the same period last year. Over the past week, this figure has increased on average to 58% compared to last year.

“The data shows that overall, people take this very seriously,” said Oglesby.

An employee, Sam Pern, cleans and sanitizes surfaces on the first day of dinner on the street, as a ban on the entire state was lifted on Thursday, May 21, 2020, at the Caffinnati Elevator House in Cincinnati, Cincinnati.
An employee, Sam Pern, cleans and sanitizes surfaces on the first day of dinner on the street, as a ban on the entire state was lifted on Thursday, May 21, 2020, at the Caffinnati Elevator House in Cincinnati, Cincinnati.

Oglesby said that at the end of March, the Ogiles complied with social orders and orders to stay at home in about 75–80% of cases – much higher than Fashion designers in their department are expected,

recent study at UC Berkeley Mobility data from four large states showed that people reduced contact between people by 76% and inconsequential travel by 52% before orders to stay at home took effect. They found that home-based orders reduced contact between people by 5%.

“I think we probably underestimated the change in behavior that has occurred and will continue,” said Oglesby.

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This article originally appeared on the Cincinnati Enquirer: Ohio Coronavirus: The resumption began last month, why there are no cases of a surge?

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