ALBANY, N.Y. – Travelers from eight states, including California, can be added to Quarantine Order in New York, New Jersey and Connecticutthat will push a total of 16 states, representing almost half the country’s population.
The New York Governor’s Office, Andrew Cuomo, intends to analyze COVID-19 data from each state on Monday evening and Tuesday morning to determine which states will join the top eight on the condition of a travel order that requires travelers from high infection sites to isolate for 14 days upon arrival in New York or two neighboring states.
Analysis by USA TODAY – New York shows eight states queuing up for listing as of sunday night:
That would double original list of states released last week: Alabama, Arkansas, Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Utah,
A quarantine order in New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut could soon spread to 48% of the US population.except for drastic changes in policy or infection rate,
Cuomo’s Office and the New York State Department of Health refused to confirm which states would be added.
“Like almost all the metrics we use, it will be a moving average,” said Rich Atstsopardi, Cuomo Senior Advisor and Representative. “From Monday to Tuesday, we will determine the average values for seven days, and then we will know for sure.”
What determines which states are listed?
There are two ways a state can make a list, both of which are measured on a seven-day moving average:
The presence of 10% of diagnostic tests COVID-19 gives a positive result.
At least 10 daily positive tests for every 100,000 residents.
Cuomo, New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy and Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont issued a quarantine order on Wednesday. It took effect on Thursday.
Cuomo said states can be added and removed from the order as their COVID-19 rates rise or fall.
“We will update daily information on which states the level of this infection is higher,” Cuomo said.
These updates were not made on a daily basis.
According to State Department of Health spokeswoman Jill Montague, weekly adjustments will be made after the data for Monday is published. New Jersey Department of Health Website says it will update the list of affected states weekly on Mondays.
Montag says New York takes COVID-19 data from each state’s website and checks it COVID Tracking Project, a volunteer project led by The Atlantic that tracks state-level coronavirus data and makes it available for download.
Technical glitches first spared two states
Using the COVID Tracking Project Curator According to the data, the US TODAY network calculated a moving average of seven days in each state, starting from the first days of the outbreak in March.
Government officials compiled an initial list of eight states included in the quarantine order, based on a seven-day period ending June 21.
At that time, six other states, including California, had an average of 9 to 10 positive daily cases per 100,000 inhabitants, which barely met the criteria.
Louisiana and Mississippi probably should have been included in the original quarantine order. Due to technical glitches or corrections, they were stopped.
On June 21, Louisiana’s moving average of seven days was 9.7 positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants. These calculations included zero new cases on June 19, when the Louisiana Department of Health removed more than 1,600 duplicates, leading to a general drop in the total number of cases in the state that day and dropping the seven-day average.
Louisiana now has 19.9 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, fifth in the country.
Mississippi recorded 5.4 positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the week ending June 21. Technical problems prevented government officials from updating the total number of their daily incidents four days before.
When a five-day backlog was added on June 22, the Mississippi number jumped to 11.9, according to an analysis by the US TODAY Network. Since then, it has constantly increased to 25.2 as of Sunday, second only to Arizona (42.2) and Florida (29.1).
California may be a follow-up
Six other states have been eligible for business trips to New York, New Jersey and Connecticut since June 21.
Most significant is California, the most populous state in the country with a population of over 39 million people.
Gold staff exceeded 10 per 100,000 inhabitants on June 23, the day before the quarantine order was announced, but after New York analyzed the data.
Since then, 4,200 to 7,200 new cases of COVID-19 have been detected in California daily, bringing the total population per 100,000 inhabitants to 13.5 as of Sunday.
If California is added to the quarantine order on Tuesday, this will significantly increase the scope of the directive. The state makes up 12% of the US population.
The second and third largest states, Texas and Florida, are included in the original quarantine order.
California governor Gavin Newsome said Friday that he had no contact with the three eastern governors about travel arrangements.
“I am not here to judge the actions of other governors” Newsom said at a press conference, “All I can say is to humbly introduce myself as governor, I recognize the responsibility and weight of the decision-making process and respect their decisions based on their particular insight and their experience.”
New York Turns Tables
New York State was hit hardest by COVID-19, which killed more than 31,000 people in the state and infected more than 392,000 people.
In early April, in New York, an average of more than 9,000 people received a positive result every day, which is almost 50 per 100,000 inhabitants.
On May 21, New York dropped below 10 per 100,000. As of Sunday, this figure fell to 3.4, which is the 12th lowest in the country.
Travelers who have violated the quarantine order in New York face a fine of up to $ 2,000 for the first violation and up to $ 10,000 in case of harm. This applies to New Yorkers who come to the affected state and return home.
Fines are possible if the state or local health department issues a separate quarantine order for a person, which can happen if someone is intentionally caught ignoring state travel recommendations.
Bill Hammond, director of health policy at Empire Center, a financially conservative think tank, wondered if a quarantine order would have the desired effect.
“Once you get it into the community, I’m not sure that travel restrictions will be effective, especially given how difficult it is to apply,” Hammond said.
Cuomo has repeatedly come up with questions about how he plans to enforce travel arrangements, especially in connection with the expansion of his coverage and the expansion of staff.
The governor suggested that the state would rely on people who would voluntarily follow the order, but “Inspectors” will study flight logs and randomly check those who come from states with a high level of infection.
“You are arriving here from another state, we know which flight you flew to,” Cuomo told CNN on Friday. “And we will have inspectors who randomly look at the names on the list and call to check, to make sure that you are in quarantine.”
John Campbell is a New York State government reporter for the US network TODAY. You can contact him at JCAMPBELL1@Gannett.com or on Twitter at @JonCampbellGAN.
This article originally appeared on the New York State team: New York quarantine order: more states can be added amid coronavirus